After we’ve already discussed whether the Chicago Cubs should trade Yu Darvish, Kris Bryant and Wilson Contreras, it’s time to do the same for Kyle Hendricks. Normally, out of season, I wouldn’t even think about it. Companies that want to be categorized tend not to trade upstream. However, given the premature departure of Theo Epstein and the rumors that Jed Hooker wants to build this off-season hard, it’s worth considering.
Statisticsprove that Hendricks belonged to the top 10-15 of the Cubsof his career.
We cannot answer the question of whether or not the Cubs should trade Kyle Hendricks without first dissecting his big career with the Chicago Cubs. So let’s take a look at some statistics. The table below shows where Kyle Hendricks is in the top six of relevant positions with all qualified starters since 2015.
Source : Fan calendars
I don’t even have to ignore certain years to prove Hendrix’s greatness. There are no anomalies here. Since his first full MLB season with the Cubs in 2015, Kyle Hendricks has been in the top 10-15 of the MLB. All the above data points to this conclusion.
If you think this production didn’t go through in the post-season, you’re wrong. Hendricks posts a 3.12 ERA in 57.2 post-season runs for the Cubs. In NLCS 2016 and the World Series an ERA of 0.83 in 21.2 IP was posted. Not only did he excel in the regular season, but he also dominated when a lot was at stake. However, Kyle Hendricks is never discussed on a national level, he is not an All-Star and is never mentioned in the ace talk. Why is that?
Kyle Hendricks doesn’t kill assailants… So?.
Well, the answer is Kyle Hendricks doesn’t strike. Since 2015 Hendricks is on the 97th place with 7.78 K/9, which is far from his place in the above statistics. Hendricks’ failure to overcome the 98+ MPH of baseball is another reason why baseball underestimates its capabilities. Nothing in his physical makeup justifies harassment. That’s why no one outside the Cubs organization considers him an ace.
But that’s a ridiculous thought. Should I use the six stats above that show that Kyle Hendricks is a top 10-15 starter because he doesn’t throw enough shots? Why does that make his FWAR, ERA and six-year release speed less impressive? It’s not that. The Chicago Cubs deserve praise for acknowledging this fact and refusing to doubt their initial success. The rest of baseball adheres to the medieval idea that the best players in the game should crush their opponents with strikes. I completely reject this hypothesis.
Strikes are necessary in certain situations, make no mistake. When the men are at the base, it’s the missing bats the pitchers use to get away with it. But just like a weakling. Kyle Hendricks generates a weaker contact than aces that hit more batters than he does, so who knows what method an ace is worth more? I would even say that the Hendrix method is more valid because the sound on contact keeps the sound in the countdown. By avoiding constant contact with the batters, the starters have a number of pitches of more than 85 in the fifth inning.
Kyle Hendricks has bad things
When analyzing Hendricks’ lack of eliminations, most fans, even those of the Cubs, wrongly conclude that there are no eliminations. It’s not fair. We all know how deceptive Hendricks is. It will come as no surprise to anyone that she has been in second place in baseball since 2015. But a fact that almost every baseball fan escapes? His fastball is in 11th place in the same period. And he shoots at 86 MPH.
Hendricks’ fastball is effective because it mixes speeds and changes the hitter’s eye level better than anyone else in MLB. Plus, he can go anywhere he wants. So not only can he escape by dropping 86, but he can also use it as a weapon. It doesn’t matter that Hendricks’ approach doesn’t have the element of surprise that comes with the recordings. The end result is the same: he’s beaten.
Photo : David Zalubovsky/AP/Shutterstock
Contracts with a team of starters are rare
I was just explaining why the Cubs were able to extend Kyle Hendricks’ contract by $14 million a year until 2024, and that baseball called its initial success unsustainable because it didn’t have a comprehensive approach. Rather than reject it under a cloud of doubt, the Chicago Cubs capitalized by signing a start in the top 10-15 at a cheap price relative to cost. You don’t see that very often. Snacks on the front row usually have a high price.
Given the production of Hendricks, his friendly staff and his age, his market value should be as high as that of any newcomer to MLB not named Shane Bieber. But given baseball’s tendency to underestimate Hendricks’ abilities, it’s almost certain that no other baseball club values him so highly. And if that’s the case, why would the Chicago Cubs trade Kyle Hendricks if the return offered doesn’t match his historical production?
Should the Cubs trade Yu Darvish or Kyle Hendricks?
If I had to choose between the Chicago Cubs that trade Yu Darvish or Kyle Hendricks, I would choose Darvish without putting an eye patch on it. Not only is Hendricks’ contract more favourable for the team, but he will also be in the prime of his life for the rest of his life. The same cannot be said of Yu Darwish. Darvish is 34 years old and will not be able to repeat his last season and a half of dominance for long (his contract runs until 2023 at ~$19.7 million a year).
And to make the decision even easier, Darvish has a higher commercial value because it does everything better than baseball upgrades. He has the highest K/9 in the history of MLB. His wow-factor is through the roof because he can make a batter look like a fool.
The Chicago Cubs must consider Kyle Hendricks untouchable.
I don’t want to doubt what Yu Darwish has achieved. He was phenomenal in 2020 and deserves all the praise he deserves. Honestly, Darvish should have won the NL Cy Young. But for all the above reasons, the Chicago Cubs simply have no conceivable reason to trade Kyle Hendricks and keep Darvish. Darvish is older, is likely to be released sooner, is more expensive and has a short-term contract. No matter how much the fans love him, if the Cubs want to trade one of their two front row starters, they have to trade Yu Darvish. Kyle Hendricks must be untouchable.
kris bryant,yu darvish,mlb 2020 schedule